Monday, July 17, 2006

Israel Latest

Rockets hit Tiberias, Safed, Haifa and Southern Golan. (Haaretz)

Iranian FM visits Syria to discuss situation, Khamenei and Syria make threats. (Haaretz)

On Sunday, Iran threatened "unimaginable damage" to Israel if Syria were to be attacked. Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said that Hezbollah was winning its fight against Israel.
"Thanks to the power of Hezbollah, the Lebanese resistance has disturbed the dream of the Zionists," Khamenei said Sunday in a speech broadcast on state television.
Syria has also warned that any attack would be by "a firm and direct response whose timing and methods are unlimited."

This meeting, combined with the fact that Iran and Syria have made little effort to distance themselves from Nasrallah in the past few days, indicated that there can be little doubt that Iran and Syria are directly involved in backing Hezbollah. Despite the threats, I do not think Syria would pose a significant military threat if Hezbollah were to be taken out of the picture, should Israel decide to attack, due to the IAF's aerial superiority, which was made clear when IAF planes flew over Assad's summer residence last month.
On the other hand, Israel must still be wary about Iran. Even though the arrow missile defence could negate the threat of long range Shehab missile attacks, it is still generally thought that Hezbollah, the terror group backed by Tehran, has the capability to stike Jewish or Israeli targets abroad.


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